I've been wondering, with all the coming head-winds, what kind of effect it will have on the gun market, and gun prices. What are your thoughts?
What I foresee happening is:
1) Romney will win the White House. Ryan is outspoken about his belief in gun rights. Gun Owners will feel safe, and turn their resources to buying things other than guns to prepare for a "gun grab". The black rifle market will dry up.
2) A serious dialogue will begin about our Nation's debt crisis. Credit will contract. Attitutudes about "I gotta have it now" will wane in favor of people saving to "earn what they buy". In short, frugalness will be more widespread diminishing the demand for finer, and otherwise more expensive arms.
3) Baby Boomers will dump collections on the market in droves. The supply of used arms will go up due to Baby Boomers needing to supplement their retirements, to pay for medical bills and keep the guns out of the hands of their kids who are stupid.
4) Manufacturers who expanded operations to meet red-hot demand will have excess capacity. They introduce new, more economical, models further crowding supply of the cheaper arms.
5) We'll live past December 21, 2012. No Zombies will come. The poles don't shift. It's yet another day. All these people who fantasize about shooting their zombified neighbors will come to accept it'll never happen. Now they have an AR-15 or a shotgun collecting dust. They just foundout their girlfriend (notice I did not say Wife) is pregnant, and now they need some cash...
What goes up, must come down. I recall listening on my car radio to how fast house prices were going up. I remember watching 20 year olds, with no job, buy homes in California for $450,000 with the hopes of remodeling them and reselling them for $600,000. I think there is a touch of that madness in this market everytime I see new numbers about how many guns were sold this year, this month etc.
What do you folks think?